Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 30 2025 |
L |
USC
|
13-73 |
922.0 |
-0.9
|
921.1 |
1.4% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Marshall
|
21-20 |
921.1 |
+84.1
|
1005.2 |
1.5% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
SMU
|
10-28 |
1005.2 |
-2.4
|
1002.8 |
2.1% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
Tennessee Martin
|
42-10 |
1002.8 |
+0.0
|
1002.8 |
5.4% |
| 6 |
Sep 27 2025 |
L |
Western Kentucky
|
22-27 |
1002.8 |
-7.1
|
995.7 |
6.2% |
| 8 |
Oct 8 2025 |
W |
Middle Tennessee
|
22-20 |
995.7 |
+67.3
|
1063.0 |
26.6% |
| 10 |
Oct 22 2025 |
W |
New Mexico State
|
24-17 |
1063.0 |
+66.9
|
1129.9 |
27.0% |
| 11 |
Oct 29 2025 |
W |
Florida International
|
28-21 |
1129.9 |
+41.7
|
1171.6 |
43.1% |
| 12 |
Nov 8 2025 |
W |
Liberty
|
21-17 |
1171.6 |
+71.4
|
1243.0 |
20.8% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
W |
UTEP
|
38-24 |
1243.0 |
+23.6
|
1266.6 |
65.5% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
L |
Kennesaw State
|
34-41 |
1266.6 |
-22.8
|
1243.8 |
33.5% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
L |
Louisiana Tech
|
30-42 |
1243.8 |
-48.3
|
1195.5 |
48.9% |
| 18 |
Dec 18 2025 |
L |
Arkansas State
|
28-34 |
1195.5 |
-17.1
|
1178.4 |
20.1% |